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The expert in oil and investment economics to our source: “The need to re-conceptualize fuel subsidies must be considered”

The expert in the economics of oil and investment, Mohamed Al-Taher Youssef, said in a statement to our source that: “Smuggling is a craft that some people practice between countries when there are differences in the prices of goods. It is a profession from ancient times, and in the past, it was done for all subsidized products. But in the presence of an existing effective authority that was strict in dealing with smugglers, those who make it easier for them at the borders to pass and try to bribe, fall into the hands of the authority and get imprisoned. Therefore this was actually smuggling because it is outside the channels of the state, without its knowledge and in very hidden ways, but today what we see in Libya is no longer smuggling. It is practiced in daylight and under the eyes of witnesses. Rather, it has become a trade practiced by those in authority, their acquaintances, or their agents.

He also added: “Today smuggling is visible in the fuel sector, as the price of a liter of gasoline and diesel does not exceed 150 dirhams, approximately ten cents at the official dollar price before it was modified to not exceed 4 cents, while the price in Europe is 1.8 dollars per liter and in neighboring countries, it is not less than one dollar per liter. Such conditions opened the appetite of the influential class, in the absence of a strict authority. Smuggling as a remunerative craft can reap huge sums of money at the expense of poor people who do not find fuel in the stations and find it at other prices on the side of the road.”

He also noted: “The situation is no longer like that what we see today of truck convoys on the roads on their way to unload their cargo in neighboring countries or on close land or beach. It is not smuggling in the well-known economic sense of smuggling, but rather a systematic theft of the nation’s resources for the benefit of an immoral group, without any deterrent or firmness from the existing regulatory bodies, and accordingly. In the absence of a sincere, strict and honest authority over the livelihood of Libyans, it will only increase corruption at all levels.”

He added: “In my view, to address this issue, one must think about the need to re-conceptualize the fuel subsidy at the station, and to develop an appropriate formula to help the persons with low incomes, whenever the prices level is maintained to a level no less than the prices of neighboring countries, arranging strict control at the land borders for any transgressions of any kind, and referring the violator to justice and holding him accountable. In my opinion, the existing waste in fuel prices as a result of smuggling abroad has resulted in clear harm. The first is in the state treasury, especially since the products are imported from abroad, not to mention the production from local refineries, that are supplied at international market prices, and sold in the local market at prices, that are almost nothing for what was wasted.”

He concluded the conversation by saying: “In this regard, I suggest that a fund is established to transfer surpluses between the current price and the proposed price to be approved in line with the price level of neighboring countries. This fund is sponsored by, for example, the Economic and Social Development Fund, from which the low-income persons are disbursed according to an equation approved according to the usual monthly fuel consumption and the rest is invested in the road and transport network.”

The Ministry of Economy in the National Unity Government spoke to our source about the prices of sacrifices of Eid Al-Adha for this year

The Director of the Department of Economic Studies and Reforms at the Ministry of Economy and Trade, Hussein Al-Amami, stated exclusively to our source that: “The supply of sacrifices is carried out through livestock and meat import companies by opening documentary credits at the unified commercial exchange rate.”

He added: “The ministry has no role in supplying after unifying the exchange rate, in addition to the fact that prices, their rise and decrease are related to supply and demand.”

Aoun tells our source exclusively about the decision to study replacing fuel support

The Minister of Oil and Gas in the National Unity Government, Mohamed Aoun, spoke to our source regarding the replacement of fuel support with cash support, saying that he had submitted a proposal to lift fuel support in 2018 during the meeting of the Ministry of Planning at that period, adding that if there is a fair and feasible salary system and ways to not practice injustice on citizens, it must be lifted.

Aoun added that the Cabinet’s decision came for review and arrangements will be made before implementing the decision.

The Finance Ministry of the National Unity Government reveals the total public revenues and expenditures

The Ministry of Finance of the National Unity Government revealed the total revenues achieved during the period from January 1st to May 31st, as revenues from oil sales amounted to 37.368 billion dinars, and revenues from taxes and royalties on oil companies amounted to 16.146 billion dinars, with total revenues of oil resources 53.515 billion dinars.

The report also published a statement of sovereign revenues, where the revenues of taxes and fees on the income of economic activities amounted to 601.835 million dinars, customs fees revenues amounted to 69 million dinars, communications revenues amounted to 64 million dinars, revenues from fuel sales in the local market amounted to 59.969 million dinars and services fees and other revenues amounted to 66,246, with total sovereign revenues of 1,043 billion dinars, and the remaining account balances for previous years amounted to 792.174 million dinars, with total public financial resources, which amounted to 55.350 billion

The report also showed the total public expenditures during the same period, which amounted in Chapter One “Salaries” to 16.791 billion with an expenditure of 58.6%, the expenditures of Chapter Two “Expenditures of Management, Equipment and Labor” amounted to 2.114 billion dinars, with an expenditure rate of 7.4%, the expenditures of Chapter Three “Development Projects and Programs” amounted to 117.896 million dinars, with an expenditure rate of 0.4%, and the expenditures of Chapter Four, “Support Expenditures” amounted to 9.609 billion dinars, with an expenditure rate of 33.6%, so that the total value of public expenditures amounted to 28.633 billion dinars.

The Finance Ministry of the National Unity Government publishes details of government revenues and expenditures

The Ministry of Finance of the National Unity Government announced that it has started publishing reports and detailed data on the collected revenues and government spending for the period from January 1st, 2022 until May 31.

This is according to the classification of oil, sovereign, and service revenues, Expenditures are classified according to expenditure sections and distributed over sectors and administrative units funded by the public treasury.

The Ministry of Finance said that as of June, it will publish these reports on a regular monthly basis.

Real Estate Registration Authority employees in the Western region organize a protest pause

The employees of the Real Estate Registration Authority in the Western Region organized today, Thursday, June 16, in the Authority branch in Zawiya, a protest to demand the activation of Resolution No. 426 of 2015

The protesters also called on the Parliament, the government and the relevant authorities to quickly settle their situation and provide them with health insurance, like other sectors in the country.

The allocations of the new budget for the most prominent institutions of the House of Representatives and the affiliated Council of Ministers

Our source obtained the full details of the budget by the House of Representatives that was approved by the Libyan government, and here we monitor the amounts allocated to the most important bodies affiliated with the House and the government-affiliated with it.

Parliament: Chapter One with 130 million and Chapter Two with 92 million dinars.

Libyan Audit Bureau: 159,282 million dinars and Chapter Two with 15 million dinars; Administrative Control Authority: salaries with 265 million dinars and operating expenses with15 million. 

The National Planning Council: Chapter One with 67 million dinars and Chapter Two with 6 million dinars. 

The National Anti-Corruption Commission: 105 million dinars for salaries and 15 million dinars for the Chapter of operating expenses.

As for the Cabinet of the Libyan Government, an amount of 100 million dinars was allocated to it for salaries and 110 million dinars for operating expenses. 

For its subsidiaries, such as the General Information Authority, we have 4 million dinars for salaries and 5 million dinars for operating expenses. For the Urban Planning Department: Chapter One with 11 million dinars and Chapter Two with 2.5 million dinars. For the National Council for Economic Development: 5 million dinars for salaries and 3 million dinars for the operating expenses of the Council. For the Administrative Centers Development Authority: salaries with 18.8 million dinars and management expenses with 4 million dinars.

The budget details allocated to the Ministry of Defense of the Libyan government and its military agencies

Our source obtained budget details for the ministries affiliated with the Libyan government, which were approved by the House of Representatives yesterday, including the Ministry of Defense, whose allocation details are as follows:

Ministry of Defense: 3,150 billion dinars for salaries and 800 million dinars for operating expenses.

The General Command of the Army: 2,600 billion dinars for salaries and 700 million dinars under the chapter of operating expenses.

Military Industrialization Organization: 91 million dinars for salaries and 5 million for operating expenses.

Applied Research and Development Authority: 65 million dinars for Chapter One and 4.8 million dinars for Chapter Two.

Service and Maintenance Center: 9.9 million dinars for Chapter One and 700 thousand dinars for Chapter Two.

Joint Operations Center of Greater Tripoli: 1.5 million dinars for salaries and one million dinars for operating expenses.

The Petroleum Facilities Guard: 300 million dinars for Chapter One and 10 million dinars for Chapter Two.

The National Authority for Following-up the Implementation of the Chemical Weapons Convention: 500 thousand dinars for salaries and the same amount for operating expenses.

Military Medical Service: 500 thousand dinars for salaries and 10 million dinars for operating expenses.

The total reached 6,218,400 billion dinars within the first chapter and 1,532 billion dinars for the management expenses of the Ministry.

Details of the allocations for the security services of the Libyan government within the budget for the year 2022

Our source obtained the allocations of the Ministry of Interior and its affiliates within the budgets of the public bodies of the Libyan government.

The Ministry’s office: revenues of 2 million dinars, allocations for the first chapter, with one billion and 200 million dinars for the First Chapter and120 million dinars for the Second Chapter.

Security directorates in the regions: 1,760 billion dinars for Chapter One, 80 million dinars for operating expenses.

Special Operations Force Agency: 32 million for salaries for 2 million for operating expenses.

Criminal Investigation Agency: 70 million for salaries and 10 million for operating expenses.

Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances Control Agency: 80 million for salaries and 10 million for operating expenses.

Tourism Police and Antiquities Protection Agency: 30 million for salaries and 5 million for operating expenses.

The Public Security Agency and security positions: 29 million dinars for salaries and 2 million dinars for operating expenses.

Educational Facilities Guard Agency: 140 million for salaries and 5 million for operating expenses.

The National Commission for DNA Research and Analysis: 3 million dinars for salaries and 2.5 million dinars for operating expenses.

Anti-Illegal Immigration Agency: 95 million dinars for salaries and 8 million dinars for operating expenses.

The National Safety Authority: 180 million dinars for salaries and 8 million for operating expenses.

Civil Status Authority: 3 million dinars for revenues, 690 million dinars for salaries and 12 million dinars for operating expenses.

Passports and Nationality Department: 70 million dinars for revenues, 200 million dinars for salaries, and 12 million dinars for management expenses.

The Facilities and Establishments Security Department: 35 million dinars for revenues, 100 million dinars for the First Chapter and 20 million dinars for the Second Chapter.

Information and Documentation Center: 500 thousand dinars for Chapter One, and 1 million dinars for Chapter Two.

Addicts Care and Protection Center: 1 million dinars for salaries and 1.1 million for operating expenses.

The General Authority of the Agricultural Police: 10 million dinars for salaries and 5 million dinars for operating expenses.

The total includes 110 million for revenues, 4,620,500 billion dinars for the salary section and 303,600 million dinars for the second chapter devoted to operating expenses.

The allocations of the Ministry of Planning and Finance to the Libyan government within the budget for the year 2022

Our source obtained exclusively the details of the amounts allocated to the Ministry of Planning and Finance and its affiliates to the Libyan government within the 2022 budget.

This starts with the office of the Ministry of Finance and Planning, the Financial Services Control in the regions, the planning offices in the regions, the Customs Authority, the Tax Authority, the State Property Authority, the Financial and Accounting Training Institute, the Survey Authority, the Statistics and Census Authority, the National Center for Standardization and Standards, the Libyan Accreditation Center, the Planning Institute, the Libyan Academy for Customs Studies, the Fund for Liquidation of International Companies and Dissolved authorities, the contributions to international financial institutions, the Office for the Recovery of Libyan State Funds and Stolen Assets, the salaries and loans of low-income and martyrs, the Information and Documentation Center at the Ministry of Finance, the Center for Financial Studies and Training on Financial Operations , the treatment debts abroad, the State Real Estate Development and Investment Authority, the Training and Customs Studies Institute, the operation and maintenance of government administrative centers, and the settlement of employee salary entitlements in the sectors.

The total revenues of all these institutions amounted to 20,380 million, as the first chapter was 1,131 billion, and the second was 1,696 billion.

Expenditures of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation in Bashagha government

Our source obtained exclusively the allocations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation and its affiliates.

The total expenditures of the Ministry’s office amounted to about 35 million in the first chapter and 40 million in the second chapter, embassies, consulates and missions abroad amounted to in the first chapter 1,300 billion, and in the second chapter 310 million, international contributions amounted to 300 million for the second chapter, political work reached 200 million, and the Diplomatic Institute Benghazi reached 3 million, and the Center for Peacebuilding and Crisis Management amounted to 3 million. 

The total allocations of the ministry are 1.335 billion for the first chapter and 856 million for the second chapter.

An electricity official reveals to our source the amount of consumption during 2022 and presents important solutions

The Assistant Director-General for Operations at the General Electricity Company, the Engineer Salah Al-Khafifi, revealed exclusively to our source that Libya consumes this year 2022 in the range of 8800 MegaWatts, and with the entry of new production projects, the production will be in the range of 7000 MW.

He added that last year, Libya’s consumption reached 8150 MW, and it is expected that this year’s consumption will reach more than 8,800 MW.

He revealed that “the types of loads in Libya are domestic (51%), public utilities (19.9%), street lighting (8.8%), agricultural (5.7%), and the rest are commercial, industrial and other types.”

He stated: “It is noted from what was mentioned that the loads (domestic – public utilities) are the largest, and with rationalization in consumption, the problem will be solved. The deficit will be reduced by half if rationalization is done only for public utilities.”

He revealed: “Also, the individual in Libya consumes approximately 5 times the consumption compared to the neighboring countries. The reason is the lack of control in consumption in addition to tariff licenses for kilowatt-hours, knowing that if electricity is taken to provide electricity to its contractors only, there will be no generation deficit and it will solve the problem, adding to that, the reconstruction that took place and was not accompanied by planning or study for several years, to be included and provide an infrastructure of generating stations, transmission networks, etc…

He added that the state’s complex procedures are a major reason for the delay in new projects and the treatment of faltering projects, adding that expatriate workers and electrical materials that violate standards were a major reason for excessive consumption, and that thefts and encroachment on electrical equipment, including new projects, had a negative impact on the operation of the electrical network.

He revealed that the use of liquid fuel instead of gas to operate production units, which is estimated at 30%, costs the Libyan state billions, adding that the delay in disbursing financial values ​​for maintenance and the lack of fuel supplies for production stations, especially new ones, will have a negative impact on the operation of the electrical network, concluding by saying that rationalization and raising subsidies is the best solution to the problem of electricity.

Italian analyst to our source: “The decision to finance Al-Hibri for Bashagha government is not clear, and the only legitimate is the Central Bank”

The Italian analyst and strategic advisor, Daniele Ruffinetti, told our source today, Thursday, that: “The problem of Bashagha government is that it has failed at the moment to enter the capital, Tripoli, and therefore we do not forget that all the important institutions are in Tripoli, as the Central Bank, the National Oil Corporation, the Libyan Investment Authority, etc…

Ruffinetti confirmed to our source that “what was stated in yesterday’s session of Parliament regarding the financing of the deputy governor of the Central Bank of Libya for Bashagha government, is not yet a clear decision, and I do not think so because the central bank is the only legitimate and only one in Tripoli.”

Hbarat declares to our source about the high rate of inflation in Libya

The economist Noureddine Hbarat said exclusively to our source that: “the inflation that the country is witnessing during this period, is definitely increasing compared to previous years, and that is due to several reasons, part of which is due to the depreciation of the dinar against the dollar, after the Central Bank decided to reduce the price of the dinar officially at 4.48 dinars to the dollar for all purposes in December 2020, the rise in shipping costs, the rise in global food prices, and the disruption of supply chains due to the Russian-Ukrainian war, as these two countries acquire nearly 40% of the world’s exports of grain and food.

He added: “It is also unfortunate that the Libyan state does not support food at all, as in most countries of the world, especially under such circumstances, after it lifted commodity support in 2015 without paying the cash for support. Today a very large percentage of citizens do not get sufficient quantities of food. The prices of grains such as a loaf of bread, rice, pasta, couscous, oils, tomato paste, dairy and its derivatives, tuna and meat are very high compared to the salaries and incomes of citizens, as well as fruits, which have led today to an increase in demands to raise the value of salaries.”

Hbarat continued by saying: “The import operations of these commodities are not carried out in an orderly manner and take into account the commodities needed by the market and the size of their stocks, due to the absence of the role of the Ministry of Economy in this regard, as well as the monitoring tools of prices by the Ministry and the Municipal Guard are ineffective, and the complete absence of any role for consumer protection associations that could have played a positive role in this regard.”

He said: “It can be said that the situation that Libya is witnessing today is a case of stagflation, because there is a noticeable inactivity in commercial activities due to the decline in sales and purchases, We notice this clearly in the shops of retail activities, and certainly its continuation will lead to a decline in demand and accumulation of goods, and then a decline in revenues and a rise in unemployment rates.”

Regarding the ways to deal with or treat inflation, he said: “It is frankly difficult, especially in light of the current circumstances due to the worsening political scene as a result of the conflict over legitimacy by two governments, in addition to the suspension of oil exports and the delay in adopting the current general budget of 2022 and the issue of its financing, because in the case of a unified government and normal circumstances, and with the oil boom, this government could have supported basic food commodities or granted financial aid to citizens, especially those with low incomes, in order to raise their purchasing power and their savings, which eroded a lot after the blessed month of Ramadan and Eid al-Fitr. Today they are preparing for Eid al-Adha, in addition to the liquidity crisis that increased and the oil exports have stopped, as foreign exchange sales are the only way for the Central Bank to deal with it, and this has led to an increase in the purchase price of the dollar in cheques compared to cash, in addition to the low and middle-income people are the largest consuming forces, their numbers are estimated in the millions, and their tendencies to consume are much greater in terms of quantity than the tendencies of the affluent class, whose numbers are very few compared to those groups.

As for the treatment mechanisms, of course, the central or the government does not have any means to deal with inflation. The interest rate mechanism, as it is known, is disabled under Law No.1 of 2013 regarding the prevention of usurious interests and the failure to adopt an alternative system for it that fulfills the purpose. On the part of the government, the matter is worse, in light of the budget was not approved and oil production and export stopped completely.”

He concluded his statement: “Libya almost escaped from the complex stagflation crisis, similar to the Gulf countries, which the World Bank expects to achieve during this year significant growth rates of about 06%, due to the oil boom and the decline of Corona to a very large extent, but the worse Libyan political scene, the intransigence of the political parties and its economic repercussions prevented this.”

Commenting on the adoption of the budget of Bashagha government, Al-Raeid says: “ This government has been already born dead”

The member of the House of Representatives, Mohamed Al-Raeid, told our source about the parliament’s approval of the draft budget submitted by the Libyan government mandated by Parliament, as he said that “there is no government named Bashagha government.”

Al-Raeid added in his statement to our source that the Libyan government, led by Bashagha, “has been already born”.