{"id":258514,"date":"2026-09-27T21:46:18","date_gmt":"2026-09-27T19:46:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sada.ly\/en\/?p=258514"},"modified":"2026-09-28T21:48:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T19:48:18","slug":"al-farisi-the-velocity-of-the-libyan-dinar-a-solution-to-the-exchange-rate-crisis-or-an-accelerator-of-its-harmful-effects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sada.ly\/en\/al-farisi-the-velocity-of-the-libyan-dinar-a-solution-to-the-exchange-rate-crisis-or-an-accelerator-of-its-harmful-effects\/","title":{"rendered":"Al-Farisi: &#8220;The Velocity of the Libyan Dinar; A Solution to the Exchange Rate Crisis or an Accelerator of Its Harmful Effects?&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee member <strong>Ayoub Al-Farisi<\/strong> wrote an article in which he said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Could reducing Libya\u2019s economic problem to just two variables \u2014 the size of public spending versus the supply of dollars \u2014 overlook the operational efficiency of money and the flexibility of its circulation?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The difference between the \u201cvolume\u201d and \u201cvelocity\u201d of money<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From a purely theoretical perspective, an increase in the velocity of the dinar domestically means an increase in real economic transactions \u2014 creating added value \u2014 without necessarily requiring the printing of more money or injecting additional liquidity that would put pressure on foreign exchange.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why do experts hesitate to propose \u201cvelocity of circulation\u201d as a practical solution?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is where the difference between the theoretical mechanism and the reality of Libya\u2019s economic structure becomes apparent, explaining the cautious approach:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The inverse relationship linked to consumption imports<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The velocity of money (V) in a diversified, productive economy translates into an expansion of domestic transactions. However, in a rentier economy with exposure exceeding 85%, accelerating the circulation of the dinar domestically without a local productive base immediately and almost directly accelerates demand for dollars to import consumer goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other words, accelerating the velocity of circulation accelerates the <strong>pass-through effect<\/strong> on the foreign exchange market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The dilemma of hoarded cash<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the velocity of circulation to increase through official channels, currency must pass through the banking system. However, given the preference for cash transactions and the public\u2019s and parallel sector\u2019s tendency to hold liquidity outside banks, faster movement of cash often tends toward speculation or parallel markets rather than the formal economic cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The velocity of money in Libya remains low. According to the money velocity equation using 2025 data, the velocity of money is approximately <strong>1.05 to 1.07<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The indicator is therefore not absent, but rather of limited usefulness as a policy tool before addressing the structural imbalances within the banking system itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economists are not seeking to increase this figure for its own sake, but rather to change the nature of the movement:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1. Link circulation to non-oil sectors:<\/strong><br>Each cycle of money should correspond to local production or an added-value service, rather than immediately turning into demand for foreign currency to import consumer goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2. Restore the financial intermediation function:<\/strong><br>Enable banks to transform deposits into credit and genuine productive investment instead of limiting their role to providing administrative withdrawal services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The structural dilemma of public spending<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The expansion of spending, particularly on salaries and subsidies, primarily contributes to fueling aggregate demand for consumption rather than production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The price-gap cycle<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An increase in public spending is immediately reflected as additional <strong>M1<\/strong> in the market. In the absence of flexibility in domestic supply, this additional demand goes directly toward channels and avenues for foreign-currency demand, widening the price gap between the official and parallel exchange rates if the demand is not fully covered by dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Increasing the velocity of money is a <strong>result of structural reform<\/strong> \u2014 expanding the productive base, restoring confidence in banks, and activating payment methods \u2014 rather than a cause or a tool that can simply be switched on to stimulate the economy before the necessary environment is in place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee member Ayoub Al-Farisi wrote an article in which he said: Could reducing Libya\u2019s economic problem to just two variables \u2014 the size of public spending versus the supply of dollars \u2014 overlook the operational efficiency of money and the flexibility of its circulation? The difference between the \u201cvolume\u201d and \u201cvelocity\u201d [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":258408,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[683],"tags":[613],"class_list":["post-258514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic-articles","tag-libya"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Al-Farisi: &quot;The Velocity of the Libyan Dinar; A Solution to the Exchange Rate Crisis or an Accelerator of Its Harmful Effects?&quot; - Sada Newspaper<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sada.ly\/en\/al-farisi-the-velocity-of-the-libyan-dinar-a-solution-to-the-exchange-rate-crisis-or-an-accelerator-of-its-harmful-effects\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Al-Farisi: &quot;The Velocity of the Libyan Dinar; A Solution to the Exchange Rate Crisis or an Accelerator of Its Harmful Effects?&quot; - Sada Newspaper\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee member Ayoub Al-Farisi wrote an article in which he said: Could reducing Libya\u2019s economic problem to just two variables \u2014 the size of public spending versus the supply of dollars \u2014 overlook the operational efficiency of money and the flexibility of its circulation? 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